Showing posts with label Money. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Money. Show all posts

01 November 2018

Trump Says The Federal Reserve Is the “Biggest Threat” to His Presidency. So Why Hasn’t He Done Anything About It?

Ultimately, Trump’s goal in criticizing the central bank seems to be distancing himself from any damage they inadvertently inflict on the economy. But the president has had the opportunity to pick a Fed board that would better reflect his own intuitions about interest rates. If his failure to do so backfires on the economy, he’ll deserve all the blame that inevitably comes his way.

Jordan Weissmann

09 October 2018

Everything is going right for the Federal Reserve. It needs to change what it’s doing.

What the Fed needs, then, is a policy framework that gets interest rates up and keeps them there. Its 2 percent inflation target just isn't getting the job done. A 4 percent target might, or, if that was too much, maybe a more flexible 2 percent target that tried to make up for any past shortfalls by letting prices go up by more than that later so that inflation averaged 2 percent over the course of the business cycle. But somethingneeds to change. Otherwise, interest rates are going to keep falling to zero every time there's a recession, recessions are going to keep being worse than they need to be because the Fed will have trouble doing enough to help the economy, and recoveries are going to keep being slow for the same reason.



31 August 2018

Donald Trump Was Too Incompetent to Pick a Fed Chair He Agreed With, and Now He’s Mad About It

It would have been trivially easy for Trump to nominate a more dovish Fed chair better aligned with his own instincts on monetary policy. (“Hawkish“ central bankers are apt to raise interest rates, while “dovish” ones prefer to keep them low.) But Trump blew the call because he’s an incurious bullshitter who fails to do a modicum of basic homework before making major decisions, and is thus at the mercy of his advisers. While all presidents get advice from their advisers, and most presidents choose at least some officials who later go on to do things they don’t agree with, flubbing the Fed nomination in this way is indeed the kind of thing that could only happen to Trump.

Jordan Weissmann

20 August 2018

Bitcoin is still a total disaster

There’s one thing a currency is supposed to do that bitcoin never has. That’s maintain a stable value.

Indeed, as investment analyst Eddy Elfenbein points out, bitcoin has gone through four bear markets in 2018 alone. Now, maybe you don’t care if your money periodically loses 20 percent of its value, but most people tend to.

Matt O'Brien


28 February 2018

Fiscal Policy and the Price-Level

This post is me thinking out loud about how fiscal considerations may influence the price-level.

David Andolfatto

20 February 2018

Why Rising Wages Scare the Heck Out of Investors

The answer is a useful illustration of why the stock market is often a poor guide to the overall health of the economy.

Jordan Weissmann

13 February 2018

Bitcoin Is the New Gold

Invest in it, perhaps. But don't try to shop with it.

Noah Smith


18 January 2018

Bitcoin is the new Middle Ages

Bitcoin changes prices too quickly to be a currency and processes transactions too slowly to be a payments system, but it is juuust right for teaching libertarians everything they don't know about economics.

Not that they're paying attention.

Matt O'Brien

09 January 2018

05 January 2018

The simple reason bitcoin will never be a currency

Just because you call something a currency doesn't mean it is one. It has to be a stable store of value that people actually use to buy things with.

Matt O'Brien


01 January 2018

Baby-Sitting the Economy

The baby-sitting co-op that went bust teaches us something that could save the world.

Paul Krugman